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Showing posts from March, 2020

COVID-19 Case Fatality Rate

Researchers are hard at work to determine all facets of COVID-19 (https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus for example). I'm no expert, but I just wanted to play with some data a bit and see what I got. I do sort of thing a lot, and decided to share.

This is a quick attempt at estimating the COVID-19 mortality rate / case fatality rate (number of people who die from it over number of people who got it). That's not the only important number, and can vary from place to place given appropriate medical attention, etc. But I ran across this tweet
and I was curious about what story that data might tell us.

Disclaimer up front. There's a lot we don't know as of this writing (March 16, 2020) about COVID-19. There may very well be people who have it without symptoms or who have otherwise not been tested. People who have it now may die from it. People who have it now may recover from it. There's a lot of uncertainty.

Also, disclaimer, I'm having a little trouble verifyin…